Frustration Friday: Would We Even Recognize Long-Term Planning?

Me, I like long-term planning.  Part of that is my nature, part of it is the value, and part of it is because I'm a Project Manager and I'm paid to be anal-retentive and think long-term (fortunately both come naturally to me).

As I've ranted in these posts, we need more long-term planning in our government, our companies, our economies, and our lives.  We have to think ahead, we have to plan ahead, otherwise we get . . . er, well look just go read the economic news.  After you stop weeping, we'll get back to my rant.

So, as a person who does long-term planning, at times I have to design methods to help companies and individuals plan long-term.  Sometimes it takes a lot of explanation.

And this leads to my Frustration Friday: would we even know what the hell long-term planning looks like in the realms of economics and politics?  Would we recognize it?

I'm actually not so sure – and I count myself in the number.

We're used to balance-sheet BS, we're used to crisis-of-the-moment politics, we're used to short-term thinking.  Politicians, business leaders, and pundits that propose actual long-term and thoughtful solutions may just not fit what we're used to.  In the heat of the moment, in a distracted reading of a news article, in a short soundbite, we may not realize someone just proposed actual good long-term solutions to problems.

We're so used to the short-term planning and short-term thinking, I'm not sure we'd recognize good long-term planning from our leaders and many supposed experts.

Steven Savage

News of The Day 8/18/2011

HP gets . . . oh hell, just read the news.

OK, if you haven't been following the geekonomic news, HP is stopping it's webOS sales, buying Autonomy, and possibly spinning off the PC division. They may still work on WebOS itself. So out of phones, out of tablets, and who knows what else is going on.

This Q&A is very helpful

So, takeaways:

  • Watch this space. With people also frittering around figuring out the Google/Motorola business, don't ignore what's going on here, or vice versa.
  • For the love of Babbage, do not send HP a resume right now. They are looking to make major, serious changes.
  • They threw around a lot of money for Autonomy. If this crashes and burns, they may be in trouble.
  • This is enough of a radical gamble it could decimate them.
  • It appears that data and data management is a big issue for them, so services are probably one of their goals. This is intriguing as the hardware/ecosystem combo model may be gaining ground.

Whew, crazy times.

Economics/Geekonomics:
Gorgeous: The Idiot's Guide to the S&P Credit Downgrade. Read NOW.

Geek Politics/Geekonomics:
With Rick Perry in the race, he'll be talking the 'Texas Miracle' which kinda . . . isn't if you do any research.  Invictus of Ritholtz points out Texas has some serious problems with the state. I'd also note that where Texas does well, it's not a model good for or even extendable to the nation. Unfortunately we're gonna keep hearing about this, and our economy does not need any more half-assed theories.

Anime and Manga:
Jmanga launches, and here's a huge roundup at Mangablog (along with a lot of other stuff, but the roundup is nice). We'll be hearing more over time.  By the way, you should just be subscribing to Mangablog anyway.  Of course we plan to keep an eye on Jmanga here.

Music:
Geez, everyone is launching a music service and now RIM is getting into the effort. Honestly, music services are the new little black dress of tech companies. Anyway, this does tell me RIM is trying to save itself and is willing to get with the times – but the fact is a music service is a very ecosystem move, which could mean they plan to get seriously radical and expansive – or they're just throwing this out there and hoping to be less in danger. I'm curious enough to keep an eye on this (and the entire trend of course) but don't know if it'll help them.

Could it be that everyone MUST have a music system now? Is it just normal?

Social Media:
Groupon isn't looking to hot. Well, none of us are surprised.

Video Games:
GameStop sales down, digital up, and some other news. Preowned up, digital up INSANELY. Looks like their plans are paying off for now.

QUESTION OF THE DAY: OK, look, we had our second big announcement of the week. What do you think is next?

Steven Savage

Late Breaking Geekery

Looks like our usuals have got some news we need to pay attention to!

Rogers Communication in Canada offers, seriously App-controlled home security.  I'm seeing this as a logical evolution of things – I also see it as hackable and a weird venture for the company.  On the other hand you know this is going to happen, so hey programmers . . .

People's completion rate of video games is dismally low.  Here's a question?  Does that matter?

Is winter coming for startups?  I'm not sure myself.

Steven Savage