Economic Headdesk Time: Home Sales Worse Than Thought

OK I've gone on about the housing market.  And on, and on.  Yeah, it may not seem very Geeky, but that's a major part of our economic woes the last few years, and a prime study in Industrial Grade Stupid and Wrong.

Well the Stupid was not Industrial Grade, it was even higher Quality: The National Association of Realtors was overcounting home sales.  For five years.

End result?  The housing market, already bad, is worse than we thought.  Oh, and it probably puts other statistics into question.

Your takeaways:

  • A lot of people can't do statistics, apparently including some people whose job it is.
  • The housing market is worse than thought – I'll reiterate my previous claims, I think a recovery may be a decade away.  By then so much will have changed we may not even know it's one.
  • I think this may actually be an honest mistake (that no one was anxious to check for mistakes).
  • This will probably not get a lot of notice.  Unfortunately.
  • On pure progeekery, I think there's a market for good, real data out there since we've seen so many cases of it being done wrong.  Think about that.

Steven Savage

Norway Butter Crisis

OK normally I post serious geeky economic news, bordering on the depressing, but as your geekonomist du blog, I have to share this story that is a great reminder of how social trends affect economics.

Norway is running out of butter.

Why? Because of a low-carb diet trend and some bad weather. Oh and they could get more butter from Denmark, but Denmark apparently isn't selling because of high import duties.

So next time you see some weird or odd trend or fad, pause for a moment, don't laugh, and ask yourself just what it's real-life economic impacts may be. The iPad may be cool, Skyrim may be awesome, but there's also a trend effect there.

Also, Norway Butter Crisis is an awesome name for a band or an MMO guild.

Steven Savage