News Of The Day 3/21/2011

Big moves in mobile, Big news in Manga, it's an economy-sized helping of news for professional geeks!

Economics/Geekonomics: Chart Porn: Comparing US states to countries, economically, and the same for Chinese provinces. This is pretty cool, and is a neat way to get a grasp of economic differences. It's weird being in California, which really is big enough and complex enough to be it's own country.

Why Canada won't have a housing bust. With assorted political and economic chaos, any bit of stability is a good thing, and this is in favor of Canada, which has two heavily Geekonomic cities.

Alan Greenspan is ranting, Paul Krugman notes he can shut up.

Side note, with the military action in Lybia, I'm seeing higher gas prices. Let's see how long this lasts . . .

Demographics:
US Falls out of the top 25 most globalized nations. Ouch.

Anime and Manga:
As you know, a new edition of Sailor Moon is coming from Kodansha. They're making a heck of a move with this, and I suspect that releasing Big Backlog is going to be very important for them right now – fast and easily profitable.

Mobile:
Well, yes, you probably heard AT&T is buying T-Mobile. This is surprising in one way (as it just happened) and not in another as it's an obvious strategy. There may be approval issues however, I'm sure it will take some time, and you know Verizon is now eyeing Sprint. We could well end up with only two careeirs (despite rumblings of making competitors), giving me a flashback to the days of breaking up AT&T. Ironically. Look for consolidation in the mobile space, but down the road (as in up to ten years), expect a possible move to break up companies.

Publishing:
Very interesting: Disney wants to replicate its European magazine success with American magazines. Yes, in an age of e-Publishing they're going print for this. Remember with their Marvel properties they have a broader range of opportunities, so I'm a bit curious of what this means for them. Disney's clearly making a lot of changes at once – so though this may mean opportunities, it can also means shifts that impact you (if, say, you work there).

Social Media:
Facebook is serious about payment systems and more. It sounds like Facebook wants to do everything, and it seems they're taking on Paypal, Netflix, Google . . . I feel they're trying too much. Watch out, if they take a fall it might be a doozy, because once you add features it's hard to back out, especially when money is involved.

Technology:
Not exactly progeeky, but seriously, why Photoshop Zooey Deschanel? She's already quite attractive. I think people are really going a might nuts with graphic tech these days.

Google says the Chinese government messed with Gmail. The suspicion is the Chinese government fears a repeat of Egypt and Libya (though I'd expect if it came to that it'd be smoother).

Television:
'All My Children' may face cancellation. The Soaps keep dying off (and in some cases moving to the web). It's really the end of an era.

Video Games:
Why the hell did it take so long for a marketplace for in-game merchandise for multiple games to launch? MMGN sounds like a winner if it's done right, and it's incredibly obviously needed. Seriously, resume-worthy – and look for others to want a piece of this action (like Paypal or Facebook or eBay . . .)

Ngmoco (owned by DeNA) calls out Sony and feels they're in trouble in the hardware world. Interesting, considering their Android ambitions . . .

The PC Gaming Alliance loses Sony DADC, and Dell scales back. I barely know about these guys, that says something. With the losses of others, I think this may be a signal that PC gaming isn't going to be what people thought it was – but will be more Apps, and web delivery.

Rovio is going to go public in the next few years. If they're still hot, they're going to rake it in. That could propel Rovio into full multimedia company status, with lots of cash to use.

QUESTION OF THE DAY: So do you think Verizon will go after Sprint after the AT&T purchase?

Steven Savage

Risk Aversion and Large Companies

(Serdar, one of our regular posters, noted once that Hollywood isn't in the creativity business – it's in the risk management business.  He directed me to this article here: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/13/movies/manohla-dargis-and-a-o-scott-on-hollywoods-crisis.html?_r=1&hpw, which got me thinking.)

The state of Hollywood fascinates me, both due to my interest in cultural issues and the fact that it is part of the Geekonomy.  I do see some innovative films peaking through, but I also see plenty of dreck.  The sheer amounts of remakes in the queue tells me that Hollywood certainly is aiming at reducing risk in many cases (not that risk-taking has always been weird in hollywood).  I look at the amount of reality television out there and shake my head – even the good stuff doesn't make up for the repetitious crap.

In many ways, too many media endeavors are simply extraction industries – extracting the most amount safely from whatever resources are there with least  risk, and often little concern for the future. Though this may be understandable, it's really not good in the long or even medium-term.

If you think about it, your average huge media company may have many, many advantages, but also needs to pay for all that entails (lawyers, marketing, etc.). The efforts they engage in, large mega–million-dollar efforts, also have the ability to screw up beyond belief. Let's face it, putting out a big movie or video game is a great way to lose money if you do it wrong.

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News Of The Day 3/18/2011

Lots of economic news, a reboot of a beloved comic, eBooks surge, and Wonder Woman's remaining dignity is flushed down the toilet.  Let's get to the news!

Economics/Geekonomics:
OK this is more for you Econogeeks, but here's a great analysis on ideal bank size which is smart and thought-provoking.

Tech companies lobbying for a tax holiday. This would let them "bring home" money earned overseas. I myself think we need to revise the tax code, which mixes some surprisingly high taxes with ways to avoid them. However, I'm concerned several companies are courting disaster capitalism here, which has public and long-term effects.

MUST READ: The history and future of internet bubbles. Worth reading – he also promotes his own writing, but his humor and presentation show serious values to his ideas. Comes with a neat presentation. Worth reading if you want to see what's next – though I think the current "bubble" isn't as bad as others.

Comics:
Sigh. The new Wonder Woman costume is not promising. I'm sure Adrianne Palicki is a nice person, and from what I know she can act, but the outfit is really not working, a strange mixture of overdone, kinda sleazy, and just plain odd. Worse, it feels like an attempt to fanservice up an already very attractive woman, not promising for the show's direction. I'm not holding out hope, but I wish Ms. Palicki well and hope she transcends this thing.

My worry here?  If this tanks (and I expect it to) it will set back possible property adaptions, and set back the use of female characters.

Publishing:
E-Book sales rise significantly at the start of 2011. Not surprised at all, between PR, christmas gifts of various devices, and general growth.

Video:
Netflix has their first original series and that sound you hear is everyone else wetting their pants and trying to plan. I wonder if this is an "in-your-face" move against Comcast and others, as well as a new deal to set up. Watch this, see what happens.

Video Games:
Nintendo of America president Fils-Aime builds bridges by saying they don't want to work with people making 'garage games' and continues on with his concern that there's a flood of cheap, low-quality content that doesn't last. Admittedly I've seen a lot of low-quality stuff on Nintendo devices, so I'm not sure he can talk, and I don't think he realizes the idea of the 'garage developer' is lionized.

A look at a team that made a Facebook game in a month.

Look. More reboots. Now it's Sonic The Hedgehog comics. I got nothin'.

QUESTION OF THE DAY: OK, how would you design a good, wearable, yet referential Wonder Woman Outfit?

Steven Savage