Review: Twilight of the Elites, America After Meritocracy

Twilight Of The Elites CoverReview: Twilight of the Elites, America After Meritocracy

ISBN-10: 0307720462
ISBN-13: 978-0307720467

PROS:

  • Book transcends petty politics while being straightforward and realistic.
  • Proposes understandable models of elite decline.
  • Reviews historical issues past and present on elite decline, providing useful fine detail.
  • Explains its subject matter smartly, realistically, and accessibly.

CONS:

  • Proposed solutions could focus more on actual solutions.
  • If you follow news closely, some sections will literally be “old news” and will be more of a review.

SUMMARY: Must-read book for people concerned about what’s gone wrong in the American (and world) culture and economy.

I’m going to be putting this review in the “Geek As Citizen” slot for this week because this is a book that aspiring Geek Citizens really should be reading – though it’s focus on economics, psychology, and systems also makes it a heavily – but accessibly – geekonomic tome.

Christopher Hayes takes on a subject that we’re all concerned about, but not always inclined to analyze, namely, what happened to our elites and how have they gotten so much wrong despite supposedly being so, well, elite

It’s easy to understand why the subject is important, because we’ve seen a decade or two of serious problems, often build on foundations of previous decades of elite incompetency we missed. Financial meltdowns, housing bubbles, pointless wars, Catholic Church sex scandals, lead many of us to figure that something has gone terribly wrong with the people who supposedly are qualified to run things. Worse, it seems the people who messed up haven’t been punished or in a few cases were even rewarded.

So, what happened – because we really wonder how much more of this our culture, economies, and planet can take.  How did we end up with, well a Twilight Of The Elites? (Yes, a reference to the oft-quoted Twilight of The Gods).

Off the bat a book like this could descend into political polemics, or even be focused more on selling books via outrage than solving a problem (another issue of elite incompetence in a way). Hayes, to his credit, both wears his liberal politics on his sleeve but also shows both an open mind and a lot of empathy in his subjects. Hayes isn’t busy wagging fingers and feeling self-righteous, he wants to solve problems and understand what’s going on; he even empathizes with some dysfunctional elites because some of us might be just as messed up were we to exchange positions.

This is a guy who can look at people who have done massively awful things and actually take a moment to empathize with them – before explaining how much they messed things up.

Thus the book, though very readable and even at times a bit poetic, has a refreshing and blunt realism without rant or contrived outrage. This makes it very useful because you can get maximum information with minimal BS.

Hayes starts off by reviewing our discontents about our elites, and then jumps straight into the nearly unquestioned idea of meritocracy, the belief in a system where people succeed on their merits. This rather beloved myth actually has its roots in a political parody, and the irony becomes even more apparent because the parody being taken seriously in many ways resulted in a rather mockable system. It’s apparently produced an elite that is not meritorius, but one that starts poitness wars and covers up horrible sex scandals.

Next, Hayes explores exactly what happened, and the political theorists who have touched on similar issues for years if not centuries. Though it’s hard to do justice to his ideas – and indeed a short review isn’t enough – essentially meritocracy breaks down because those who benefit from it eventually subvert any ability for people to rise through the ranks. At some point the people who got to the top – even if they did so virtuously – will often be interested in making sure they stay there and only people they want get there as well.

Having established his theories, Hayes then “treats” us to an overview of our dysfunctions, from what builds functioning systems and builds trust in our systems to what happens when things break down. He points out, essentially, how one by one major social systems people rely on to know what’s true, to build trust, to get things done have stopped working. A lot of this seems to be common sense, but he uses examples and analysis to help give a near-visceral understanding of what’s wrong.

Finally, Hayes gives us a tour of major malfunctions. This is, oddly, a less interesting part of the book for anyone who’s a news junkie (like myself) as you’ve seen it all before – only in this case he puts things in context. This is useful and appropriate, but for some people this part of the book is “yeah, I know.” It is necessary for the overall context of the book however, so it’s inclusion is understandable.

Hayes lays out an excellent model for elite dysfunction, shows how things have broken down one by one, then looks at major scandals and issues to show just what happened behind the scenes of the last decade or so. He gives a small-to-big picture view in the book that makes his theories and analyses applicable . . . if you’re not too busy being depressed.

The book closes with a look at what can be done. This chapter is a bit weak because though Hayes remains hopeful and optimistic, a great deal of change is not made by grand outlines and scenes, but actions at critical points by people and groups. Thus he gives possible outlines of what may and could happen, but it is vague – and he knows it. Frankly, I’d like to see a followup book on specific actions.

Is the book worth it? Frankly, yes. In fact it’s not just a good book, Hayes’ empathy and understanding, building of systems and connections, is actually a good model for writing a book – it actually has influenced some of my writing goals already.

I consider this book a must-buy for:

  • Citizen geeks who want to know what went wrong and how to fix things.  As he proposes theories and systems there’s stuff we can work with.
  • Econogeeks who want to understand much the same thing – and get some good historical context.
  • Anyone who wonders what the hell happened the last twenty years.

This is a must buy, must keep, and a must-get for others book. I look forward to Mr. Hayes’ other works.

– Steven Savage

Geek As Citizen: Paul Dini, Marketing Bias, And Cultural Creation

For those of you just tuning into this, Paul Dini appeared on Kevin Smith’s podcast, the self-depreciatingly named “Fatman on Batman.”What got a lot of attention and appeared on io9, Boing Boing and other sites was Dini’s experiences with execs who didn’t want female fans of the show since “girls don’t buy toys” and some other objectionable choices.

Some of the most disturbing parts are transcribed here.

Read more

Geek Job Guru: Drone Delivery And Careers – No, Really

Flying Drone - Future Of Delivery?

So we’ve all heard about how Amazon is interested in using delivery drones. This has led to everything from your inevitable “will it take off” jokes, to eBay’s CEO mocking the idea, to UPS and Fedex talking about their own drone delivery plans. We’re all talking drones, and not just the whole military-controversy thing that’s been around for a few years, but about them becoming part of our lives.

I don’t think we’ll have drones in 4-5 years as Bezos expected, or said, or hoped for, or trolled (depending on what you think). But the interest in drones plays into something larger that I want to address, because it affects geek careers. The interest in drones isn’t new, it’s just the manifestation of the trends I’ve been following geek job-wise for awhile.

The “drone thing” is part of the overall trend towards more automation. And that gives us some career hints that are useful for we geeks.

An Old Hat Slightly Redone

Drone delivery really isn’t much different than anything else automated. It’s an extension of plenty of other robotic systems such as sorting, packaging, and even vending machines. In fact, that vending machine factor is something I always return to, and something I keep covering.

Needless to say, time for me to return to the subject.

I see the latest drone fad as nothing more than an extension of our already continuing love affair with automation. It now just add door-to-door deliver to the sorting, packaging, shipping, and manfuacturing automation we’re used to. Admittedly door-to-door delivery by a faceless machine with whirling blades, but door-to-door (or something close) nonetheless.

Really, it’s no different than anything else we’ve seen in automation. We have automated pizza, automated coffee, Shop24, and of course good old RedBox. Why shouldn’t delivery be next?

Drones just stand out because they sound really cool.  Actually that’s the only reason they stand out.  Well, that and a few issues . . .

Droning On About Problems

Let me be blunt; I don’t think we’re going to see a successful wide-spread drone delivery program in the next few years. I can’t say “never”, but let us say I can’t conclude they’re going to be some world-changing addition to our shipping economy at least in their current form and in the current economic state. In implementing drone delivery, I see the following issues:

  • In the words of Lewis Black there’s “eight razor-sharp reasons they can’t be used as delivery vehicles.” Building on his observation of the safety issues of a small, mobile gathering of whirling propellors traveling about, there’s also questions of malfunctions, crashes, short-outs, and more on something flying around. Making these things safe will be tough.
  • FAA regulation, law enforcement, and government. People won’t be tame about unmanned, remote aircraft zooming around. There’s going to be lots of regulation at the very least, and that will change when . . .
  • The inevitability of malfunction or worse. These are new technologies, zooming through populated areas, using an unpopular idea (drones), and essentially wearing giant “please hack me signs” on their chassis. Something unsavory will happen by accident, prank, or purpose.
  • The complexity factor. It’s one thing to deliver a vending machine or automate a shipping line. Adding the maneuvering of an object through 3D space and the environment into the process adds unpredictability. Amazon is willing to take risks, others may take risks, but this is going to add a lot of risk.

So no, I don’t see drones as the next big thing. But the fact we’re talking about them says something else – we’re just seeing people try to extend automation in the delivery process. That’s what’s important to our careers, drones are just a spectacular part of that wish.

One More Automated Layer

So drone talk aside, what I really take from all of this is we’ve got another area of possible automation going on; automating delivery. That’s what the real story is for our jobs, and what I want to focus on for your careers.

The cat is well out of the bag and has run away on this idea. Google’s got experimental automated cars, Amazon is pushing drones, and we’ve seen many attempts to innovate delivery systems by those whose job is to deliver stuff. Thats where some of we career geeks may want to pay attention.

Because the razor-sharp propellor delivery system of the future aside, if this many companies are looking at Drones or even talking about it, then there’s an acknowledgement that more can be done in the delivery space.

This is where you come in:

  • Any attempt to automate delivery is going to need people good at the mechanical. Drones aside, even a better sorting system for a vendor or a better offloading system are important.
  • If you’re a coder, look into how automated systems are coded, because there’s going to be more of them.
  • On the subject if you are involved in any hands-on or developmental work, start tlooking into automation AI, processes, 3D maneuvering, and more. Because this is an area where a lot can go spectacularly wrong, being able to understand the problem is a career advantage.
  • If you’re involved in shipping, handling, receiving, this may not be an issue for awhile, but as it has come up it will be a change in your job eventually.
  • If you’re a law geek and involved in policy, I’m not kidding, this is great for you. There’s going to be so many legal, compliance, and safety issues your knowledge is going to be needed.
  • Into training, tech writing, and documentation? Just imagine how explaining this to people will be, and how your skills will be needed.  Just imagine the legal requirements law geeks will find that you’ll have to cover . . .

No, I’m not sold on drones. I am sold that this means more automation in delivery methods – or attempts.

This means opportunities.

Closing

I’m going to be watching the Drone trend, but more as part of the larger picture of automated delivery.

Would I base your career on drones and automated delivery? Well I wouldn’t base your career on any on thing – and this area is too unpredictable. But I’d say keep it in mind, especially if it’s up your alley as there is definite potential.

How long that potential lasts, well that’s a question I’m not too sure on . . . but perhaps I’ll come to some conclusions later . . .

– Steven Savage